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Tuesday, May 12, 2020

There Is No Need to Be Terrified With Last Weeks Unemployment Report #1217nauticalway #14242valleyvista #363benttwig #290epennst #3676_5thave #TimeToBuy,#FirstTimeHomeBuyers,#MoveUpHomeBuyers,#5StarREALTOR,#HyperLocal, #ChrisBJohnsonREALTOR,#TopProducer,#FlipandFix,#RealEstateInvestor,#RentalProperties, #BoomerageBuyers,#MultiGenerationalBuyers,#AJIBoom,#FindYourDreamHome,#PreApproval #homebuying #yournexthome #homebuyers #homeownership #virtualtours #fixandflip #virtualopenhouse #realtor #buildingwealth #realestateinvesting #virtualrealtor #shortsale #bidonhomes #xomeagentnetwork

There Is No Need to Be Terrified With Last Weeks Unemployment Report: Last Friday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) released its latest jobs report. It revealed that the economic shutdown made necessary by COVID-19 caused...............BY 
Real Estate Agent with Allison James Elite CA. BRE 01501699
 
Unemployment Report: No Need to Be Terrified | MyKCM
Last Friday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) released its latest jobs report. It revealed that the economic shutdown made necessary by COVID-19 caused the unemployment rate to jump to 14.7%. Many anticipate that next month the percentage could be even higher. These numbers represent the extreme hardship so many families are experiencing right now. That pain should not be understated. However, the long-term toll the pandemic will cause should not be overstated either. There have been numerous headlines claiming the current disruption in the economy is akin to the Great Depression, and many of those articles are calling for total Armageddon. Some experts are stepping up to refute those claims. In a Wall Street Journal (WSJ) article this past weekend, Josh Zumbrun, a national economics correspondent for the Journal explained:
“News stories often describe the coronavirus-induced global economic downturn as the worst since the Great Depression…the comparison does more to terrify than clarify.”
Zumbrun goes on to explain:
“From 1929 to 1933, the economy shrank for 43 consecutive months, according to contemporaneous estimates. Unemployment climbed to nearly 25% before slowly beginning its descent, but it remained above 10% for an entire decade…This time, many economists believe a rebound could begin this year or early next year.”
Here is a graph comparing current unemployment numbers (actual and projected) to those during the Great Depression:Unemployment Report: No Need to Be Terrified | MyKCMClearly, the two unemployment situations do not compare.

What makes this time so different?

This was not a structural collapse of the economy, but instead a planned shutdown to help mitigate the virus. Once the virus is contained, the economy will immediately begin to recover. This is nothing like what happened in the 1930s. In the same WSJ article mentioned above, former Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke, who has done extensive research on the depression in the 1930s, explained:
“The breakdown of the financial system was a major reason for both the Great Depression and the 2007-09 recession.” He went on to say that today – “the banks are stronger and much better capitalized.”

What about the families and small businesses that are suffering right now?

The nation’s collective heart goes out to all. The BLS report, however, showed that ninety percent of the job losses are temporary. In addition, many are getting help surviving this pause in their employment status. During the Great Depression, there were no government-sponsored unemployment insurance or large government subsidies as there are this time. Today, many families are receiving unemployment benefits and an additional $600 a week. The stimulus package is helping many companies weather the storm. Is there still pain? Of course. The assistance, however, is providing much relief until most can go back to work.

Bottom Line

We should look at the current situation for what it is – a predetermined pause placed on the economy. The country will recover once the pandemic ends. Comparisons to any other downturn make little sense. Bernanke put it best:
“I don’t find comparing the current downturn with the Great Depression to be very helpful. The expected duration is much less, and the causes are very different.”


 
 

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Chris B. Johnson REALTOR® Specializes in Luxury Estates and Home Auctions. Your home is probably the biggest asset you own. This is why you should hire a professional to guide you through all your real estate transactions. My goal is to help 24 to 28 families each year either buy or sell a home. I am NOT interested in Selling 100 or 200 homes a year because I would not be able to give each family the time, attention and energy they deserve. I believe in Quality, NOT Quantity.
The information contained, and the opinions expressed, in this article are not intended to be construed as investment advice. Keeping Current Matters, Inc. does not guarantee or warrant the accuracy or completeness of the information or opinions contained herein. Nothing herein should be construed as investment advice. You should always conduct your own research and due diligence and obtain professional advice before making any investment decision. Keeping Current Matters, Inc. will not be liable for any loss or damage caused by your reliance on the information or opinions contained herein.
TOPIC:
 Home Buying
LOCATION:
 
California
TAGS:
 
preapproval
 
topproducer
 
hyperlocal
 
firsttimehomebuyers
 
realestateinvestor
 
chrisbjohnsonrealtor
 
rentalproperties
 
timetobuy
 
ajiboom
 
findyourdreamhome
 
5starrealtor
 
moveuphomebuyers
 
flipandfix
 
boomeragebuyers
 
multigenerationalbuyers

#1217nauticalway #14242valleyvista #363benttwig #290epennst #3676_5thave #TimeToBuy,#FirstTimeHomeBuyers,#MoveUpHomeBuyers,#5StarREALTOR,#HyperLocal,
#ChrisBJohnsonREALTOR,#TopProducer,#FlipandFix,#RealEstateInvestor,
#RentalProperties, #BoomerageBuyers,#MultiGenerationalBuyers,#AJIBoom,#FindYourDreamHome,#PreApproval #homebuying #yournexthome #homebuyers #homeownership #virtualtours #fixandflip #virtualopenhouse #realtor #buildingwealth #realestateinvesting #virtualrealtor #shortsale #bidonhomes #xomeagentnetwork

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