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Wednesday, January 14, 2015

Simi Valley Short Sale Specialist,What is the connection between buyer purchasing power and home prices?

By Chris B Johnson Realtor

Simi Valley Home Market Trends         
   
Simi Valley Condo-TownHome Market Trends

Buyer purchasing power is the driving force behind real estate pricing, as each homebuyer in need of a mortgage has a maximum price they qualify to pay to purchase property. This maximum price depends on:
  • the buyer’s down payment; and
  • the mortgage funds they qualify to borrow from a lender.
When buyer purchasing power falls, home prices are sure to follow. When purchasing power rises, the outlook for future price increases is good.
History tells us that home prices begin to rise about six months after buyer purchasing power rises. Home prices begin to fall 9-12 months after buyer purchasing power begins to fall in a sustained manner. The delay for falling home prices is due to the sticky price phenomenon, in which sellers initially refuse to adjust their prices to reflect today’s fair market value (FMV).
Other factors that influence these pricing trends include:
  • speculator over-activity (as in 2012-2013), which artificially boosts home prices even when buyer purchasing power declines;
  • adjustable rate mortgage (ARM) usage, which provides additional funding and temporarily delays decreases in pricing due to depressed buyer purchasing power;
  • the personal savings rate, which addresses down payment amounts and thus mortgage insurance;
  • construction and zoning, which tempers home pricing in desirable areas;
  • population density and income growth, which influences home sales volume and price movement; and
  • economic shocks, which cause end user homebuyers to exit the market and investors to swoop in.








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